IEA：市場悲觀 油價或再跌20%

據(jù)今日油價網(wǎng)站3月27日消息 布倫特原油周五下午下跌4%，至27.50美元/桶。美國原油價格下跌5%，至21.47美元/桶。

隨著疫情肆虐打擊全球經(jīng)濟(jì)，油價有望連續(xù)第五周下跌。

遏制措施導(dǎo)致需求下滑，供應(yīng)鏈嚴(yán)重中斷，石油需求大幅下降。

近三周前，沙特在與俄羅斯就穩(wěn)定物價的談判破裂后發(fā)動的價格戰(zhàn)使油價跌至17年來的最低水平。1月初，布倫特原油價格在65美元/桶左右。

盈豐財資市場分析師David Madden說：“最近幾天有很多傳言稱，未來幾個月石油需求將受到嚴(yán)重打擊，因此經(jīng)銷商正在傾銷?！?/span>

“沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯之間激烈的價格戰(zhàn)也在嚴(yán)重影響石油市場。”

Oanda高級市場分析師Edward Moya表示，原油庫存不足是一個問題。如果各國沒有地方儲存沙特阿拉伯在價格戰(zhàn)期間生產(chǎn)的石油，能源價格可能進(jìn)一步下跌。

Moya 說：“由于生產(chǎn)商將開始耗盡庫存原油，市場似乎將出現(xiàn)混亂。世界上大約四分之三的儲存設(shè)施已經(jīng)滿負(fù)荷?！?/span>

“如果沙特和俄羅斯下個月繼續(xù)釋放創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的石油供應(yīng)，能源市場將不得不為油價再次暴跌做好準(zhǔn)備?！?/span>

國際能源機(jī)構(gòu)（IEA）負(fù)責(zé)人比羅爾昨日表示，隨著全球30億人陷入封鎖，油價可能下跌20%。

比羅爾說：“人們預(yù)計，基于過去的記錄，沙特阿拉伯將為全球石油市場的穩(wěn)定提供建設(shè)性支持?！?/span>

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價

原文如下：

Oil Prices Could Fall Another 20%

Brent crude was down four percent Friday afternoon at $27.50 per barrel. US crude was five percent lower at $21.47 per barrel.

Prices were on track for their fifth weekly drop in a row as coronavirus ravages economies around the world.

Containment measures have caused demand to slump and supply chains to be severely disrupted, dramatically lowering demand for oil.

The price war launched by Saudi Arabia almost three weeks ago after talks with Russia over price stabilisation broke down has sent prices to their lowest level in 17 years. The Brent crude price was around $65 per barrel at the start of January.

“In recent days there has been a lot of chatter that demand for oil is going to be hit severely in the months ahead, hence by dealers are dumping the energy,” said David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets.

“The bitter price-war between Saudi Arabia and Russia is hurting oil too.”

Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, said the lack of storage for crude oil was a problem. Energy prices could tumble further if countries do not have anywhere to store the oil Saudi Arabia is producing during its price war.

“It seems market dislocations will happen as producers will start running out of room store crude. Roughly three-fourths of the world storage facilities are already full,” Moya said.

“If the Saudis and Russians follow through with the unleashing of record oil supply next month, energy markets will have to brace for another plunge in oil prices.”

Faith Birol, head of the International Energy Agency, yesterday said oil prices could fall by 20 percent with 3bn people around the world on lockdown.

“One would expect that Saudi Arabia will provide a constructive support to the stabilisation of the global oil markets based on their past record,” Birol said.