殼牌預(yù)計(jì)第一季度燃料銷售可能下降

據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)4月7日倫敦報(bào)道，全球最大的燃料零售商荷蘭皇家殼牌(Royal Dutch Shell)周三表示，預(yù)計(jì)其第一季度燃料銷售將下降，或至多大致穩(wěn)定，這表明在新冠疫情限制的影響下，燃料需求復(fù)蘇仍然緩慢。

殼牌在交易更新中表示，一季度成品油產(chǎn)品銷售量為370-470萬桶/天，而2020年最后一季度僅低于480萬桶/日。此前，該公司曾預(yù)測(cè)銷售量為400萬-500萬桶/日。

本季度煉油廠利用率為71%-75%，而預(yù)測(cè)為73%-81%。殼牌本季度的煉油利潤(rùn)率已從上一季度的1.6美元提高到每桶2.6美元左右。

天然氣方面，殼牌表示，預(yù)計(jì)交易業(yè)績(jī)將“明顯低于平均水平”。

殼牌預(yù)計(jì)其第一季度液化天然氣(LNG)產(chǎn)量為780-840萬噸，前一季度產(chǎn)量為820萬噸，預(yù)計(jì)產(chǎn)量為800萬-860萬噸。

預(yù)計(jì)上游總產(chǎn)量將從2020年第四季度的237萬桶增至240萬-248萬桶油當(dāng)量，處于預(yù)測(cè)范圍的低端。

德克薩斯州的一股極端寒流預(yù)計(jì)將使其日產(chǎn)量減少1萬-2萬桶，并使其將于4月29日公布的調(diào)整后第一季收益減少多達(dá)2億美元。

第一季度基準(zhǔn)原油價(jià)格上漲約24%，周三接近每桶63美元。

郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Shell flags likely fall in first-quarter fuel sales

Royal Dutch Shell expects its fuel sales to fall or at best be broadly steady for the first quarter, the world's biggest fuel retailer said on Wednesday, indicating fuel demand recovery has remained slow amid coronavirus restrictions.

In a trading update, Shell said it saw refined oil product sales at 3.7-4.7 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first quarter compared with just under 4.8 million bpd in the last quarter of 2020. It had previously forecast sales of 4-5 million bpd.

Refinery utilisation rates in the quarter stood at 71%-75%, compared with a forecast of 73%-81%. Shell's refining margins have improved to around $2.6 per barrel in the quarter from $1.6 in the previous quarter.

In gas, Shell said it expected trading results to be "significantly below average".

Shell sees its first-quarter liquefied natural gas (LNG) production at 7.8-8.4 million tonnes, compared with 8.2 million in the previous quarter and a forecast of 8-8.6 million tonnes.

Total upstream production was expected to rise to 2.4-2.48 million barrel of oil equivalent, at the lower end of the forecasted range, from 2.37 million in the fourth quarter of 2020.

An extreme cold snap in Texas is expected to have shrunk its output by 10,000-20,000 bpd and to shave up to $200 million from its adjusted first-quarter earnings, due to be reported on April 29.

Benchmark crude prices in the first quarter rose around 24% and were trading near $63 a barrel on Wednesday.