沙特正考慮取消歐佩克明年的緩和減產(chǎn)計(jì)劃

據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)利雅得報(bào)道，《華爾街日報(bào)》日前援引沙特阿拉伯高級石油顧問的話說，沙特阿拉伯時(shí)下正在考慮取消將在明年1月生效的歐佩克緩和石油減產(chǎn)的計(jì)劃。

今年4月份，歐佩克與其以俄羅斯為首的合作伙伴達(dá)成協(xié)議，把石油日產(chǎn)量減少970萬桶，以應(yīng)對新冠肺炎疫情爆發(fā)導(dǎo)致油價(jià)下跌后的需求下滑。從今年7月份開始，每日減產(chǎn)額將減少200萬桶，然后從2021年1月開始減產(chǎn)將再減少200萬桶。

然而，盡管減產(chǎn)，但由于需求在疫情持續(xù)的情況下仍然疲軟，因此油價(jià)仍未恢復(fù)到危機(jī)前的水平。盡管參與減產(chǎn)的國家都非常遵守減產(chǎn)協(xié)議，但全球石油庫存仍比今年同期的5年平均水平高出了大約2.2億桶。

《華爾街日報(bào)》的一位消息人士稱：“市場無法再接受每天200萬桶石油?！钡牵碓粗赋?，尚未就取消增加的產(chǎn)出作出一個(gè)決定。

在這一消息發(fā)布之前，歐佩克發(fā)布了一份官方報(bào)告。報(bào)告稱，歐佩克預(yù)計(jì)全球石油需求將反彈，甚至在2022年超過新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的水平，并將穩(wěn)步增長，直到本世紀(jì)30年代末，需求將開始趨于平穩(wěn)。

歐佩克在其最新一期的《世界石油展望》報(bào)告中表示:，“假設(shè)新冠肺炎疫情大流行在明年基本得到控制，全球石油需求預(yù)計(jì)將在2021年部分恢復(fù)，中期預(yù)計(jì)需求將出現(xiàn)健康增長?！?/span>

李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Saudi Arabia May Not Want To Ease Output Cuts In January

Saudi Arabia is mulling over canceling a planned relaxation of OPEC oil production cuts due to enter into effect next January, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing senior oil advisers from the Kingdom.

OPEC and its partners led by Russia agreed in April to reduce their combined oil production by 9.7 million barrels daily in response to the demand slump following the outbreak of coronavirus that caused prices to tank. The cuts were to be relaxed by 2 million bpd from July and then by another 2 million bpd from January 2021.

Prices, however, have not recovered to pre-crisis levels despite the cuts as demand remains sluggish amid the continuing pandemic. Global oil inventories are about 220 million barrels above the five-year average for this time of the year despite strong compliance rates among the participants in the cuts.

“The market can’t take another two million barrels a day,” said one of the Wall Street Journal’s sources. The sources noted, however, that a decision on the cancellation of the output increase has yet to be made.

The news comes on the heels of an official OPEC report, which said the cartel expected global oil demand to rebound and even exceed the pre-pandemic levels in 2022 and grow steadily until the late 2030s, when it will begin to plateau.

“Assuming that the COVID-19 pandemic is largely contained by next year, oil demand is expected to partly recover in 2021 and healthy demand growth rates are foreseen over the medium-term horizon,” OPEC said in its World Oil Outlook report.