據(jù)石油新聞2020年9月27日迪拜報(bào)道，歐佩克秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)穆罕默·巴爾金都9月27日表示，經(jīng)合組織（OECD）的商業(yè)石油庫(kù)存預(yù)計(jì)到明年第一季度將略高于5年平均水平，然而在今年剩余時(shí)間里將跌破這一基準(zhǔn)水平。

巴爾金都在由沙特阿拉伯在線主辦的G20能源部長(zhǎng)會(huì)議上的事先準(zhǔn)備好的評(píng)論中稱，上述預(yù)測(cè)是基于最新的預(yù)測(cè)，即今年全球石油需求將減少950萬(wàn)桶/天，而非歐佩克產(chǎn)油國(guó)的液體產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將減少270萬(wàn)桶/天。

巴爾金都說(shuō)，“因此，我們的工作還沒(méi)有完成。我們必須跨越我們所面臨的任何分歧，努力達(dá)成更廣泛、以共識(shí)為驅(qū)動(dòng)的解決方案，這將有利于我們的利益攸關(guān)方，并最終有利于整個(gè)世界?！?/span>

歐佩克及其包括俄羅斯在內(nèi)的盟友曾表示，他們的目標(biāo)是通過(guò)集體減產(chǎn)，將全球石油庫(kù)存降至5年平均水平。

所謂的歐佩克+聯(lián)盟同意在5月份開(kāi)始每日減產(chǎn)970萬(wàn)桶，之后又放寬至8月至年底每日減產(chǎn)770萬(wàn)桶，這是因?yàn)槿蚴托枨箢A(yù)計(jì)屆時(shí)將回升。從2021年1月到2022年4月，減產(chǎn)計(jì)劃將進(jìn)一步縮減至每天580萬(wàn)桶，但歐佩克+的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人沒(méi)有排除在市場(chǎng)條件允許的情況下維持進(jìn)一步的減產(chǎn)。

李峻 編譯自 石油新聞

原文如下：

Global oil inventories expected to drop below 5-year average in Q2 2021: OPEC

OECD commercial oil inventories are expected to stand slightly above the five-year average through Q1 2021, before dropping below that benchmark for the remainder of the year, OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo said Sept. 27.

The projections are based on latest forecasts, which expect world oil demand in 2020 to contract by 9.5 million b/d, while non-OPEC liquids production is anticipated to decline by 2.7 million b/d, said Barkindo said in prepared remarks at the G20 energy ministerial hosted online by Saudi Arabia.

"Therefore, our job is not yet complete. We must reach across whatever divide we face and work towards broader and consensus-driven solutions that are beneficial to our stakeholders and ultimately the entire world," Barkindo said.

OPEC and its allies, including Russia, have said they are aiming to reduce global oil inventories to the five-year average through their collective production cuts.

The so-called OPEC+ alliance agreed to cut 9.7 million b/d of production starting in May, which was then relaxed to a 7.7 million b/d cut from August through the end of the year, anticipating a pick-up in global oil demand. From January 2021 through April 2022, the cuts are scheduled to taper further to 5.8 million b/d, but OPEC+ leaders have not ruled out maintaining deeper cuts if market conditions warrant.