原油價(jià)格反彈之際 交易商仍持謹(jǐn)慎態(tài)度

據(jù)9月20日FX Empire報(bào)道，如果布倫特原油價(jià)格持續(xù)保持在每桶42.50美元以上，看漲人士很有可能將價(jià)格推高至每桶45美元。布倫特原油上周反彈8.3%，在最近的交易時(shí)段收于每桶43.15美元。

能源專家預(yù)測，雖然當(dāng)前全球大部分經(jīng)濟(jì)體仍在以較低的產(chǎn)能運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)，但隨著主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體開始公布令人印象深刻的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，加上最近研制出的疫苗，布倫特原油價(jià)格可能會(huì)收于每桶49美元左右，這緩解了石油交易商對(duì)全球汽油需求脆弱的神經(jīng)。

值得注意的是，布倫特原油價(jià)格在過去一周回升至每桶43美元，此前曾跌至每桶39美元，原因是最近公布的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，全球最大的經(jīng)濟(jì)體庫存有所下降。

當(dāng)前，布倫特原油價(jià)格能否突破每桶45美元十分關(guān)鍵。如果看漲者在未來幾天將布倫特原油價(jià)格持續(xù)保持在每桶42.50美元上方，那么很可能將把價(jià)格推入每桶45美元的阻力位，這是油價(jià)突破近期高位的一個(gè)非常重要的關(guān)鍵考驗(yàn)點(diǎn)。

然而，如果來自非洲最大的原油儲(chǔ)備的額外供應(yīng)開始發(fā)揮作用，看漲人士肯定會(huì)有很多考慮，因?yàn)樽罱袌?bào)道顯示，該國計(jì)劃向能源市場注入更多石油，而能源市場受到新冠肺炎疫情的破壞已經(jīng)非常脆弱，再加上低波動(dòng)率的顯著存在，短期內(nèi)可能難以突破每桶45.50美元，因交易商仍對(duì)原油供需再平衡異常擔(dān)憂。

王佳晶 摘譯自 FX Empire

原文如下：

Oil Traders Remain Wary Amid Crude Oil Prices Bouncing Up

If the bulls keep the price of Brent crude above $42.50/barrel continually, it most likely the bulls will push the price within the $45/barrel.

Crude oil prices rallied higher w/w, as the new oil sheriff in town warned over producers and energy speculators, has he specifically targeted short-sellers betting on a drop in crude oil prices.

Brent crude rebounded 8.3% last week, to settle at $43.15 a barrel at its most recent trading session.

Leading energy experts are now anticipating, Brent crude prices could finish around $49/barrel, as major economics start printing impressive economic data, coupled with the recent development of the Covid-19 vaccine, soothing the nerves of oil traders on the fragile demand of gasoline globally, as the major parts of the global economy is still operating at reduced capacity.

It should be noted that over the past week, Brent Crude prices recovered to trade at $43/barrel, after hitting as low as $39/barrel, as recent economic data printed the largest economy stockpiles dropping arbitrarily.

Taking a closer look at Brent crude price pattern, a vital breakout from the wedge pattern is currently seen around the $45/barrel price level.

If the bulls in the coming days keep the price of Brent crude above $42.50/barrel continually, it most likely the bulls will push the price within the $45/barrel resistance level a very important technical test in breaking out from its recent highs.

However, the bulls would definitely have a lot to chew if additional supplies coming from Africa’s largest crude oil reserves comes to play, as recent reports reveal its leader plans to pump more oil into an energy market that has become fragile, disrupted by the ravaging COVID-19 virus, coupled with a significant prevalence of low volatility would probably make it challenging for the bulls to breach above $45.50/barrel price level in the near term as traders remained highly worried about crude oil demand/supply rebalancing.