可再生能源繼續(xù)蠶食化石燃料的主導地位

據油價網9月14日報道，未來幾十年，可再生能源將成為增長最快的能源來源，在世界許多地區(qū)，煤炭和石油等化石燃料將成為競爭對手。當然，未來世界將繼續(xù)需要石油、煤炭和天然氣，因為能源系統(tǒng)不能也不會很快轉向100%低碳能源。

然而，最近的數據和分析表明，太陽能、風能等可再生能源以及日益普及的電動汽車(EV)與20世紀主要能源——石油、煤炭和天然氣——的競爭日益激烈。

新興市場電氣化和工業(yè)化率的提高將支持各種能源消耗的增長，但是所有分析都表明，石油和天然氣消耗的增長正在放緩。 另一方面，可再生能源是近年來增長最快的能源，并且預計在未來幾十年將繼續(xù)如此。

據英國石油公司《2020年世界能源統(tǒng)計評論》顯示，去年，可再生能源占能源需求增長的41%，是最大的能源來源。

相比之下，據路透社專欄作家John Kemp估計，天然氣占全球能源需求增長的36%，石油僅占全球能源需求增長的21%。

據英國石油公司稱，2019年的一次能源增長是由可再生能源驅動的，其次是天然氣，其共同促成了凈增長的四分之三以上。

郝芬 譯自 油價網

原文如下：

Renewable Energy Continues To Eat Away At Fossil Fuel Dominance

Renewables are set to be the fastest-growing source of energy in the coming decades, giving fossil fuels such as coal and oil a run for their money in many parts of the world. Sure, the world will continue to need oil, coal, and natural gas in the future, because energy systems cannot and will not switch to 100-percent low-carbon energy sources any time soon.

Recent data and analyses suggest, however, that renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power and increased penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) are becoming increasingly competitive with the dominant energy sources of the 20th century—oil, coal, and natural gas.

Increased rates of electrification and industrialization in emerging markets will support the rise in consumption of energy of all kinds, but all analyses point to slowing growth in oil and gas consumption. On the other hand, renewables have been the fastest-growing energy source in recent years and are expected to continue to be such in the coming decades.

Last year, renewables accounted for 41 percent of the rise in energy demand, the largest of any energy source, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2020 showed.

To compare, natural gas represented 36 percent of the increase in energy demand, and oil was only 21 percent of the rise in total global energy demand, according to estimates from Reuters columnist John Kemp.

According to BP, primary energy growth in 2019 was driven by renewables, followed by natural gas, which together contributed to over three-quarters of the net increase.