EIA上調(diào)今年布倫特和WTI原油價(jià)格預(yù)測(cè)

據(jù)美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站2020年9月10日華盛頓報(bào)道，美國(guó)能源信息署(EIA)10日在其最新一期的短期能源展望(STEO)報(bào)告中透露，EIA上調(diào)了其對(duì)今年布倫特原油和西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(WTI)價(jià)格的預(yù)測(cè)。

根據(jù)EIA的 9月份STEO報(bào)告，今年布倫特原油和西德克薩斯中質(zhì)油的現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格將分別為每桶41.90美元和38.99美元。這些數(shù)據(jù)比EIA在8月份發(fā)布的STEO報(bào)告中預(yù)測(cè)的數(shù)字略有上升。EIA 的8月份STEO報(bào)告預(yù)測(cè)，今年布倫特原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶41.42美元，西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶38.50美元。EIA的7月STEO報(bào)告預(yù)計(jì)，今年布倫特原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶40.50美元，西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶37.55美元。

展望2021年，EIA在其最新預(yù)測(cè)中下調(diào)了兩種原油價(jià)格預(yù)測(cè)。9月份的STEO報(bào)告顯示，2021年布倫特原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶49.07美元，西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油的平均現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格為每桶45.07美元。在8月份的STEO報(bào)告中，這些數(shù)據(jù)分別為每桶49.53美元和45.53美元，而在7月份的STEO報(bào)告中，它們分別為每桶49.70美元和45.70美元。

EIA在9月份的STEO報(bào)告中強(qiáng)調(diào)，8月份布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格平均為每桶45美元，比7月份的平均水平高出了2美元。EIA還指出，布倫特原油8月份的價(jià)格比4月份的平均價(jià)格上漲了26美元。

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

EIA Raises 2020 Oil Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price forecasts for 2020, the organization’s latest short-term energy outlook (STEO) has revealed.

Brent and WTI spot prices will average $41.90 per barrel and $38.99 per barrel, respectively, this year, according to the EIA’s September STEO. These figures mark a slight increase from the EIA’s August STEO, which forecasted an average Brent spot price of $41.42 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $38.50 per barrel in 2020. The EIA’s July STEO projected an average Brent spot price of $40.50 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $37.55 per barrel this year.

Looking ahead to 2021, the EIA reduced its price predictions in its latest forecast. September’s STEO shows an average Brent spot price of $49.07 per barrel and an average WTI spot price of $45.07 per barrel. Back in August’s STEO, these figures stood at $49.53 per barrel and $45.53 per barrel, respectively, and in July’s STEO they were $49.70 per barrel and $45.70 per barrel, respectively.

In its September STEO, the EIA highlighted that Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $45 per barrel in August, which it noted was $2 per barrel higher than July’s average. The organization also outlined that Brent prices in August were up $26 per barrel from the average price in April.