EIA：2020年美國(guó)原油產(chǎn)量跌幅將低于此前預(yù)期

據(jù)路透社9月10日紐約報(bào)道，美國(guó)政府周三表示，預(yù)計(jì)今年美國(guó)原油產(chǎn)量將下降87萬(wàn)桶/日，至1138桶/日，跌幅低于此前預(yù)測(cè)的99桶/日。

為了應(yīng)對(duì)冠狀病毒大流行以及燃料需求急劇下降，包括美國(guó)在內(nèi)的世界各國(guó)紛紛減少了石油產(chǎn)量。美國(guó)的產(chǎn)量從1200萬(wàn)桶/日降至約1050萬(wàn)桶/日。這使美國(guó)一度跌至每桶負(fù)40美元的油價(jià)，最近幾周又回升至近45美元。

產(chǎn)量迅速回升可能會(huì)造成另一種供應(yīng)過(guò)剩。近期，由于對(duì)供應(yīng)過(guò)剩的擔(dān)憂，石油期貨跌至近三個(gè)月低點(diǎn)。沙特阿拉伯國(guó)家石油公司(Aramco)下調(diào)了10月份阿拉伯輕質(zhì)油的官方售價(jià)，顯示出需求走軟的跡象。

預(yù)計(jì)今年美國(guó)石油需求將下降212萬(wàn)桶/日，至1842萬(wàn)桶/日，上月預(yù)測(cè)為200萬(wàn)桶/日。

汽油需求今年預(yù)計(jì)下降104萬(wàn)桶/日，至平均827萬(wàn)桶/日，此前預(yù)計(jì)下降9.1萬(wàn)桶/日。

預(yù)計(jì)今年餾分燃料(包括柴油和航空燃料)需求將減少34萬(wàn)桶/日，至376萬(wàn)桶/日，略低于此前預(yù)測(cè)的36萬(wàn)桶/日。

報(bào)告稱，預(yù)計(jì)2021年產(chǎn)量將下降30萬(wàn)桶/日，至1108萬(wàn)桶/日。此前，機(jī)構(gòu)預(yù)計(jì)明年僅下降12萬(wàn)桶/日。

沈韓曄 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

US 2020 crude output to fall less than previously expected: EIA

US crude oil production is expected to fall 870,000 barrels per day to 11.38 million bpd this year, a less steep decline than the 990,000 bpd previously forecast, the US government said on Wednesday.

Nations worldwide, including the United States, have throttled back oil output in response to the coronavirus pandemic, and as fuel demand has dropped sharply. US production dropped from 12 million bpd to roughly 10.5 million bpd. That helped US prices, which briefly fell to minus-$40 a barrel, recover to nearly $45 in recent weeks.

A swifter rebound in output could create another supply glut. Lately, oil futures have slipped to near three-month lows due to oversupply fears. Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco cut the October official selling prices for its Arab light oil, a sign of softening demand.

US petroleum demand is expected to fall 2.12 million bpd this year to 18.42 million bpd, versus 2 million bpd forecast last month.

Gasoline demand is expected to fall 1.04 million bpd this year to an average of 8.27 million bpd, compared with a decline of 91,000 bpd previously expected.

Demand for distillate fuels, including diesel and jet fuel, is expected to fall 340,000 bpd to 3.76 million bpd this year, slightly less than the 360,000-bpd decline forecast previously.

Output is expected to drop 300,000 bpd to 11.08 million bpd in 2021, the report said. Previously, the agency expected a decline of just 120,000 bpd next year.