因管道出口增加美國(guó)天然氣價(jià)格上漲2％

據(jù)管道&天然氣雜志網(wǎng)7月28日路透社報(bào)道，美國(guó)天然氣期貨周二上漲2％，因管道出口增加，盡管預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)兩周炎熱天氣和空調(diào)需求將低于先前預(yù)期。

在美國(guó)東部時(shí)間上午7:51（格林威治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間1151），8月交割的天然氣期貨在前一個(gè)月的倒數(shù)第二天，上漲3.4美分，漲幅2.0％，至每百萬(wàn)英國(guó)熱量單位1.768美元。

9月期貨將上漲約4美分，至每百萬(wàn)英熱單位1.83美元，這將是近月的價(jià)格。

盡管夏季最熱的日子可能已經(jīng)過(guò)去，但氣象學(xué)家預(yù)測(cè)，至少到8月中旬，美國(guó)48個(gè)州的氣溫將保持高于正常水平。自6月下旬以來(lái)，每天的天氣都比平常熱。

Refinitiv表示，7月美國(guó)日均產(chǎn)量為885億立方英尺，高于6月份的20個(gè)月低點(diǎn)870億立方英尺，但仍遠(yuǎn)低于11月份的歷史最高月度954億立方英尺/天。

Refinitiv預(yù)計(jì)，包括出口在內(nèi)的美國(guó)需求將從本周的910億立方英尺/日下降到下周的899億立方英尺/日。 這低于Refinitiv周一的預(yù)期。

截止到7月，流向美國(guó)LNG出口工廠的管道天然氣平均為33億立方英尺/天（利用率為34％），低于6月份的20個(gè)月低點(diǎn)41億立方英尺/天和2月份的創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平87億立方英尺/天。2019年的利用率約為90％。

同時(shí)，由于鄰國(guó)加拿大及墨西哥的消費(fèi)者提高了空調(diào)的使用率，美國(guó)的管道氣出口也有所增長(zhǎng)。

Refiniiv表示，截止7月目前為止，對(duì)加拿大的管道出口日均為24億立方英尺，高于6月份的23億立方英尺，但仍低于去年12月份35億立方英尺的歷史月度高點(diǎn)。

本月迄今，對(duì)墨西哥的管道日均出口量為56.2億立方英尺，高于6月份的54.4 億立方英尺，有望突破3月份創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的55.5 億立方英尺。

郝芬 譯自 管道&天然氣雜志網(wǎng)

原文如下:

U.S. Gas Rises 2% as Pipeline Exports Increase, Despite Warm Forecasts

U.S. natural gas futures climbed 2% on Tuesday as pipeline exports increase despite forecasts for less hot weather and lower air conditioning demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.

On its second to last day as the front-month, gas futures for August delivery rose 3.4 cents, or 2.0%, to $1.768 per million British thermal units at 7:51 a.m. EDT (1151 GMT).

September futures, which will soon be the front-month, were up about 4 cents to $1.83 per mmBtu.

Even though the hottest days of summer are likely past, meteorologists project temperatures will remain above-normal in the Lower 48 U.S. states through at least mid August. The weather has already been hotter-than-normal every day since late June.

Refinitiv said U.S. production averaged 88.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in July, up from a 20-month low of 87.0 bcfd in June but still well below the all-time monthly high of 95.4 bcfd in November.

Refinitiv projected U.S. demand, including exports, will slide from 91.0 bcfd this week to 89.9 bcfd next week. That is lower than Refinitiv's outlook on Monday.

Pipeline gas flowing to U.S. LNG export plants averaged 3.3 bcfd (34% utilization) so far in July, down from a 20-month low of 4.1 bcfd in June and a record 8.7 bcfd in February. Utilization was about 90% in 2019.

U.S. pipeline exports, meanwhile, rose as consumers in neighboring countries cranked up their air conditioners.

Refinitiv said pipeline exports to Canada averaged 2.4 bcfd so far in July, up from 2.3 bcfd in June, but still below the all-time monthly high of 3.5 bcfd in December.

Pipeline exports to Mexico averaged 5.62 bcfd so far this month, up from 5.44 bcfd in June and on track to top the record 5.55 bcfd in March.