今年全球LNG貿(mào)易增幅將放緩至3%-3.5%

據(jù)天然氣新聞倫敦報(bào)道，天然氣出口國(guó)論壇(GECF)秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)尤里·森圖林7月9日表示，今年全球液化天然氣（LNG）貿(mào)易增幅將放緩至3%-3.5%，2021年將加快增長(zhǎng)，之后兩年將再次放緩增長(zhǎng)。

根據(jù)行業(yè)組織GIIGNL公布的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，在供應(yīng)能力增加的支持下，去年全球LNG貿(mào)易量同比增長(zhǎng)了13%，至3.547億噸。

盡管GECF預(yù)計(jì)今年全球天然氣需求量在最壞的情況下最多將下降6%，但液LNG已顯示出了一些恢復(fù)力。

GECF秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)尤里·森圖林是在一次網(wǎng)絡(luò)直播中發(fā)表上述講話(huà)的。他表示：“就LNG貿(mào)易而言，我們預(yù)計(jì)今年全球增幅將放緩至3%-3.5%左右。2021年增幅將回升至6.5%-7%?！?/span>

森圖林說(shuō)：“然而，在新增LNG產(chǎn)能放緩的驅(qū)動(dòng)下，全球2022-2023年LNG貿(mào)易年增幅預(yù)計(jì)將放緩至約1.5%-2%，增幅放緩預(yù)計(jì)將支持全球現(xiàn)貨天然氣和LNG價(jià)格的復(fù)蘇。”

李峻 編譯自 天然氣新聞

原文如下：

LNG trade growth to slow to 3%-3.5% in 2020: GECF chief

Global LNG trade is expected to grow by 3%-3.5% in 2020 followed by faster growth in 2021 before a slowdown in thesubsequent two years, the head of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) said July 9.

Global LNG trade surged 13% year on year in 2019 to 354.7 million mt, according to industry group GIIGNL, on the back ofincreased supply capacity.

While the GECF expects global gas demand to fall in 2020 by up to 6% in a worst-case scenario, LNG has shown someresilience.

"In terms of LNG trade, we expect a slowdown in growth to around 3%-3.5% in 2020," ahead of a recovery to growth of6.5%-7% in 2021, GECF secretary general Yury Sentyurin said in a webcast.

"However in 2022-2023, LNG trade growth is projected to slow to around 1.5%-2% per year, driven by a slowdown in new LNGcapacity, which is expected to support a recovery in global spot gas and LNG prices," he said.