EIA：2020年美國原油產(chǎn)量降幅將低于此前預(yù)測

據(jù)路透社7月8日紐約報(bào)道，美國能源情報(bào)署(EIA)周二表示，預(yù)計(jì)2020年美國原油日產(chǎn)量將減少60萬桶，至1163萬桶，降幅小于此前預(yù)測的67萬桶。

該機(jī)構(gòu)目前預(yù)計(jì)，到2020年，美國的石油和其他液體燃料消耗量將減少210萬桶/天，至1834萬桶/天，降幅小于此前預(yù)測的240萬桶/天。

由于疫情沖擊了全球需求，并限制了全球旅行，今年油價(jià)暴跌。隨著一些國家放松了封鎖和留在國內(nèi)的訂單，全球需求已經(jīng)開始復(fù)蘇。

EIA稱，預(yù)計(jì)2020年全球石油消費(fèi)將減少815萬桶/天，至9289萬桶/天，降幅小于此前預(yù)測的834萬桶/天。

該機(jī)構(gòu)表示，美國液體燃料的消費(fèi)量已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)了最大降幅，總體而言，到2020年下半年和2021年，消費(fèi)量將繼續(xù)上升。

2021年，美國原油產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將下降62萬桶/天，至平均1110萬桶/天，而在第二季度，美國原油產(chǎn)量已降至1100萬桶/天。

2021年，美國的石油需求預(yù)計(jì)將增長160萬桶/天，達(dá)到1994萬桶/天，而此前的預(yù)測為140萬桶/天。

沈韓曄 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

US crude output to decline less than previously forecast in 2020: EIA

US crude oil production is expected to fall by 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2020 to 11.63 million bpd, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday, a smaller decline than the 670,000 bpd it forecast previously.

The agency now expects US petroleum and other liquid fuel consumption to drop 2.1 million bpd to 18.34 million bpd in 2020, a smaller decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 2.4 million bpd.

Oil prices collapsed this year as the coronavirus pandemic slammed global demand and restricted travel across the world. Demand worldwide has started to recover as some countries ease lockdowns and stay-at-home orders.

The EIA said it expects 2020 world oil consumption to drop by 8.15 million bpd to 92.89 million bpd, a smaller decline than the 8.34 million bpd previously forecast.

The largest declines in US liquid fuels consumption have already occurred and consumption will generally rise through the second half of 2020 and in 2021, the agency said.

For 2021, US crude production is expected to decline by 620,000 bpd to average about 11.01 million bpd after dipping under 11 million bpd during the second quarter.

US oil demand in 2021 is expected to rise by 1.6 million bpd to 19.94 million bpd, compared to a previous estimate for an increase of 1.4 million bpd.