國際投行預(yù)計下半年油價波動幅度較小

據(jù)道瓊斯7月1日消息，《華爾街日報》對12家投資銀行的調(diào)查顯示，今年下半年油價不太可能在當(dāng)前水平上有太大變動。預(yù)計第四季度布倫特原油的平均價格為每桶42.08美元，與當(dāng)前價格相差不大，預(yù)計WTI原油在2020年最后一個季度的平均價格為每桶38.81美元，比當(dāng)前價格低不到1美元。在2020年頭幾個月遭到疫情造成的嚴(yán)重破壞之后，投資銀行預(yù)計布倫特原油今年的平均價格將為39.98美元/桶，明年將回升至48.59美元/桶。預(yù)計WTI今年的平均價格將略低于每桶36美元，明年略高于每桶45美元。

張春曉 摘譯自 道瓊斯

原文如下：

Banks Expect Oil to End 2020 Around Current Levels

Oil prices are unlikely to move by much from their current levels in the second half of the year, according to a Wall Street Journal poll of 12 investment banks. Brent is expected to average $42.08 a barrel in the fourth quarter--not much different from its current price--and WTI futures are expected to average $38.81 in 2020's final quarter, less than a dollar below current prices. After the havoc wreaked by the coronavirus in the first months of 2020, the polled banks expected Brent to average $39.98 a barrel this year, before recovering to $48.59 a barrel next year. WTI is expected to average just under $36 a barrel this year and just over $45 a barrel next year.