據(jù)路透社7月1日報道,游說團體IBP周二在一份報告中稱,巴西石油業(yè)預(yù)計,受進口不斷增長的推動,未來幾個月巴西國內(nèi)需求將出現(xiàn)復(fù)蘇,但疫情負面影響預(yù)計將持續(xù)到2021年底。
據(jù)估計,在沒有協(xié)調(diào)減產(chǎn)的情況下,石油消費量可能會下降10%以上,油價應(yīng)該在每桶20美元至40美元之間。
隨著疫苗的研制進展和全球石油產(chǎn)量的削減,在油價達到每桶60-70美元區(qū)間的情況下,消費量的降幅可能僅為5%。
鄒勤 摘譯自 路透社
原文如下:
Brazil's oil industry sees COVID-19 impact until the end of 2021
Brazil’s oil industry expects a recovery in domestic demand in the next months driven by growing imports, but the negative effects of COVID-19 are expected to last through the end of 2021, lobbying group IBP said in a note on Tuesday.
Consumption could drop by more than 10%, and oil prices should range between $20 and $40 per barrel without coordinated output cuts or social isolation, the institute estimated.
With a vaccine for the new coronavirus and production cuts, the drop in consumption could be limited to just 5%, with oil prices reaching the $60 to $70 range, it said. Brazil has the second-highest number of COVID-19 cases globally with more than 1.36 million cases.
標簽:巴西石油行業(yè)= 疫情影響
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