今年下半年全球石油日需求將下降640萬(wàn)桶

據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站6月17日消息 歐佩克周三在月度石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告（MOMR）中表示，今年下半年，全球石油需求將從第二季度的崩潰中開(kāi)始復(fù)蘇，但由于對(duì)燃料的需求將繼續(xù)受到疫情和遏制措施的制約，下半年的石油需求仍將比去年同期水平下降640萬(wàn)桶/天。

根據(jù)歐佩克的數(shù)據(jù)，今年下半年全球石油需求的損失將放緩至640萬(wàn)桶/天，而上半年預(yù)計(jì)將下降1190萬(wàn)桶/天。

歐佩克將2020年全年全球石油需求預(yù)測(cè)保持不變，為下降910萬(wàn)桶/天。

歐佩克表示，盡管封鎖措施持續(xù)放松，但預(yù)計(jì)今年下半年交通燃料仍將承壓。預(yù)計(jì)航空燃料將繼續(xù)面臨挑戰(zhàn)，因?yàn)轭A(yù)計(jì)國(guó)內(nèi)和國(guó)際航班只會(huì)緩慢復(fù)蘇，而遠(yuǎn)程工作/電話會(huì)議限制商務(wù)旅行。

此外，歐佩克表示，由于美國(guó)失業(yè)率居高不下、通勤減少，汽油消費(fèi)也將受到影響，而全球制造業(yè)的疲軟將對(duì)工業(yè)燃料造成影響。

歐佩克目前預(yù)計(jì)，今年原油需求為2360萬(wàn)桶/天，較上月的預(yù)估下調(diào)70萬(wàn)桶/天。與2019年相比，今年對(duì)歐佩克原油的需求預(yù)計(jì)將下降580萬(wàn)桶/天。

據(jù)歐佩克二級(jí)消息來(lái)源顯示，歐佩克5月份原油產(chǎn)量高于該組織對(duì)原油需求的預(yù)期，為2419萬(wàn)桶/天，歐佩克原油產(chǎn)量較4月份下降630萬(wàn)桶/天。

沙特阿拉伯5月份削減了產(chǎn)量，達(dá)到規(guī)定的850萬(wàn)桶/天的配額，其主要海灣合作伙伴科威特和阿聯(lián)酋也削減了產(chǎn)量，而伊拉克雖然削減了34萬(wàn)桶/天，達(dá)到416.5萬(wàn)桶/天，但仍遠(yuǎn)未達(dá)標(biāo)。

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

原文如下：

OPEC: Global Oil Demand To Drop By 6.4 Million Bpd In Second Half 2020

Global oil demand will start to recover in the second half of the year from the crash in the second quarter, but it will still be down by 6.4 million bpd in H2 from year-ago levels as demand for fuels will continue to be constrained by the coronavirus pandemic and the measures to contain it, OPEC said in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) on Wednesday.

According to the cartel, the loss in global oil demand will slow to 6.4 million bpd in the second half of the year, compared to an estimated decline of 11.9 million bpd in the first half of the year.

OPEC left its full-year 2020 global oil demand projection unchanged at a decline of 9.1 million bpd.

“Transportation fuels are forecast to remain under pressure in 2H20, despite ongoing easing in lockdown measures. Aviation fuel is expected to continue facing challenges, as national and international flights are anticipated to only slowly recover, while teleworking/teleconferencing restricting business travel,” OPEC said.

In addition, gasoline consumption will also suffer because of the high unemployment rate in the United States and reduced commuting, while industrial fuels will be impacted by weaker manufacturing around the world, the cartel said.

OPEC now sees demand for its crude at 23.6 million bpd this year, revised down by 700,000 bpd from the previous month’s estimates. This year’s demand for OPEC crude is expected to be down by 5.8 million bpd compared to 2019.

OPEC’s crude oil production in May was higher than the cartel’s expectations for demand for its crude—at 24.19 million bpd, OPEC’s crude oil production dropped by 6.3 million bpd from April, as per OPEC’s secondary sources.

Saudi Arabia slashed in May its production to the required 8.5 million bpd quota, and so did its key Gulf partners Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while Iraq, while cutting production by 340,000 bpd to 4.165 million bpd, was still way off the mark.