IEA∶明年全球石油需求將出現(xiàn)反彈

據(jù)道瓊斯倫敦6月16日消息，國際能源署(IEA)周二表示，疫情將重創(chuàng)今年的全球經(jīng)濟增長和石油需求，但產(chǎn)油國減產(chǎn)以及明年創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的需求回升幅度將有助于石油市場恢復(fù)平衡。

IEA在其備受關(guān)注的月度石油市場報告中稱，今年全球原油需求量將下降810萬桶/日，略小于上個月報告中的預(yù)測數(shù)字，報告預(yù)計2021年石油需求將強勁回升，將達到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的570萬桶/日。

最近幾周，全球部分經(jīng)濟體解除疫情相關(guān)的封鎖已經(jīng)刺激原油需求復(fù)蘇。中國4月份石油需求量幾乎恢復(fù)到了上年同期水平，印度5月份石油需求實現(xiàn)增長。

IEA在報告中稱，如果這種復(fù)蘇勢頭持續(xù)下去，加之產(chǎn)油國堅持其收緊全球石油供應(yīng)的計劃，那么全球石油市場將在2020年下半年結(jié)束前更趨穩(wěn)定。

張春曉 摘譯自 道瓊斯

原文如下：

IEA: Oil Demand Set For Record Bounce Next Year

-The coronavirus pandemic will hammer global growth and oil demand this year but supply cuts from producers and a record rebound in demand in next year will help rebalance the oil market, the International Energy Agency said Tuesday.

In its closely observed monthly oil market report, the IEA said that while the world's demand for crude will drop by 8.1 million barrels a day this year--slightly less than forecast in last month's report--demand in 2021 will bounce back by a record-breaking 5.7 million barrels a day.

The emergence in recent weeks of parts of the global economy from coronavirus lockdowns has spurred a recovery in crude demand. Chinese oil demand in April was almost back at levels seen a year previously and Indian demand climbed in May.

If that resurgence persists, and oil-producing nations stick to their plans to constrict global oil supply, "the market will be on a more stable footing by the end of the second half [of 2020]," the IEA said in its report.