2020年油氣行業(yè)將面臨1.8萬(wàn)億美元的損失

惠譽(yù)國(guó)際評(píng)級(jí)(Fitch Ratings)在一份新報(bào)告中稱，疫情影響導(dǎo)致的油價(jià)暴跌將使全球油氣勘探和生產(chǎn)企業(yè)今年收入減少多達(dá)1.8萬(wàn)億美元，以美元收入計(jì)算，這是受沖擊最嚴(yán)重的行業(yè)。

“石油和天然氣開(kāi)采昂貴的費(fèi)用(就收入、運(yùn)營(yíng)成本和資本支出而言)意味著該行業(yè)主導(dǎo)著我們的收入損失預(yù)測(cè)，2020年全球收入損失將達(dá)到1.8萬(wàn)億美元?！边@比零售業(yè)所受影響的損失大6倍。

惠譽(yù)表示，在全球范圍內(nèi)，疫情將使惠譽(yù)追蹤的所有行業(yè)損失高達(dá)5萬(wàn)億美元的收入。

惠譽(yù)評(píng)級(jí)稱:“以美元計(jì)算，石油和天然氣行業(yè)的收入損失最大，占總收入降幅的40%?！?/span>

該機(jī)構(gòu)補(bǔ)充稱:“盡管油價(jià)已從歷史低點(diǎn)反彈，但價(jià)格仍遠(yuǎn)低于我們的預(yù)期。我們預(yù)計(jì)，在封鎖后最初的樂(lè)觀情緒消散后，經(jīng)濟(jì)人氣仍將保持低迷?！?/span>

石油和天然氣勘探和生產(chǎn)(勘探)世界各地的公司都將看到他們的年度總收入下降了1萬(wàn)億美元。

根據(jù)雷斯塔的數(shù)據(jù)，2020年勘探開(kāi)發(fā)收入將下降約1萬(wàn)億美元，降幅達(dá)40%，僅為1.47萬(wàn)億美元，而去年的總收入為2.47萬(wàn)億美元。

在疫情來(lái)襲之前，雷斯塔預(yù)測(cè)今年的勘探開(kāi)發(fā)收入為2.35萬(wàn)億美元，2021年為2.52萬(wàn)億美元。

詹曉晶 編譯自 今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站

The Oil And Gas Industry Faces A $1.8 Trillion Loss In 2020

The coronavirus pandemic and the resulting oil price crash are set to wipe out as much as US$1.8 trillion from the revenues of oil and gas exploration and production companies this year-the worst-hit sector in terms of dollar revenue, Fitch Ratings said in a new report.

“The critical and expensive nature of oil and gas extraction (in terms of revenue, opex and capex) means that this sector dominates our lost-revenue projections, accounting for USD1.8 trillion of lost revenue globally in 2020. This is six times greater than the impact on the more visibly affected retail sector,” Fitch Ratings noted.

Globally, the COVID-19 pandemic is set to destroy as much as US$5 trillion in revenue for corporates which Fitch tracks in all sectors, the rating agency said.

“The oil and gas sector accounts for the most revenue destruction in dollar terms, representing 40 percent of the aggregate revenue fall,” according to Fitch Ratings.

“While the oil price has recovered from historic lows, pricing is still well inside our price-deck estimates and we expect economic sentiment to remain subdued after the initial post-lockdown euphoria dissipates,’’ the agency added.

Oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies around the world are set to see their total annual revenues plunge by a whopping US$1 trillion this year, due to the coronavirus pandemic and its effect on global oil demand and prices, Rystad Energy said in an analysis at the end of April.

E&P revenues are set to plummet by around US$1 trillion in 2020, a drop of 40 percent, and stand at just to US$1.47 trillion this year, compared to last year’s combined annual revenues of US$2.47 trillion, according to the independent energy research firm.

Before the pandemic, Rystad Energy was forecasting annual E&P revenues at US$2.35 trillion this year and US$2.52 trillion in 2021.