今年全球太陽能發(fā)電量將下降20％

據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)6月5日新德里報道，根據(jù)清潔能源咨詢公司Bridge to India最新報告，新冠肺炎大流行造成了數(shù)次運營和財務(wù)挫折，使2020年太陽能新增裝機發(fā)電量預(yù)估從之前的130-135吉瓦降低了20％至約105吉瓦。

據(jù)清潔能源咨詢公司表示，除了疫情影響外，該行業(yè)還面臨許多其他短期至中期影響。

這些因素包括化石燃料和傳統(tǒng)電力價格的下跌，這些風(fēng)險給基于電網(wǎng)平價的項目帶來了生存風(fēng)險，公用事業(yè)的財務(wù)狀況惡化，電力生產(chǎn)商承購風(fēng)險增加以及建筑活動中斷導(dǎo)致成本增加和收入可能下降。

其補充道，其他原因是政府采購方案延遲、最終消費者驅(qū)動的市場急劇下滑、對較小的設(shè)備制造商的壓力、貿(mào)易壁壘增加的風(fēng)險和融資受限。

這場疫情使政府和決策者的注意力重新集中在應(yīng)對氣候變化和本地化能源供應(yīng)上。

題為“疫情對全球太陽能市場的影響”的報告稱，這兩個優(yōu)先事項都發(fā)揮了太陽能技術(shù)的優(yōu)勢。 預(yù)計傳統(tǒng)能源投資者將加快向可再生能源的轉(zhuǎn)變。

根據(jù)這份報告，在設(shè)計經(jīng)濟刺激計劃時，政府需要考慮長期的結(jié)構(gòu)性利益，如能源獲取、創(chuàng)造就業(yè)、減少排放和技術(shù)創(chuàng)新。

清潔能源咨詢公司補充道，重點應(yīng)放在減少風(fēng)險，特別是小開發(fā)商的風(fēng)險，并確保為高度脆弱的分布式太陽能市場提供融資支持。應(yīng)確保新興市場充分獲得低成本債務(wù)和其他融資機制，以保持該行業(yè)的增長勢頭。

郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)

原文如下:

Global solar capacity addition set to plummet by 20 per cent in 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused several operational and financial setbacks bringing down solar capacity addition estimates by 20 per cent to about 105 GW for 2020 from the previous forecast of 130-135 GW, according to a latest report by Bridge to India.

Apart from the pandemic crisis, there were many other short to mid-term implications for the sector, the clean energy consultancy said.

These included fall in fossil fuel and conventional power prices posing viability risk to grid parity-based projects, deteriorating financial condition of utilities, higher offtake risk for power producers, and disruption in construction activity resulting in higher costs and potentially lower revenues.

It added that other reasons were delay in government procurement programmes, sharp downturn in end consumer driven markets, pressure on smaller equipment manufacturers, risk of growing trade barriers, and constrained financing.

The pandemic has refocused attention of governments and policymakers to fight climate change and localise energy supply.

“Both these priorities play to solar technology’s advantage. Investors in conventional energy are expected to accelerate the shift towards renewable energy,” said the report titled ‘COVID-19: Impact on global solar market’.

According to the report, while designing economic stimulus packages, the governments need to consider long-term structural benefits such as energy access, job creation, reducing emissions, and technology innovation.

The clean energy consultancy added that the focus should be on reducing risks especially for small developers and ensuring financing support for the highly vulnerable distributed solar market. And added that adequate access to low-cost debt and other financing mechanisms should be ensured for emerging markets to maintain growth momentum in the sector.