美國天然氣價格下跌4%

據(jù)6月2日Oil Monster消息：美國天然氣期貨周一下跌逾4%，原因是歐洲和亞洲的液化天然氣出口繼續(xù)以創(chuàng)紀錄的低價格下跌。

盡管預(yù)計未來兩周天氣轉(zhuǎn)暖，空調(diào)需求將高于此前預(yù)期，但價格仍出現(xiàn)了下滑。

截至美國東部時間8點36分(格林威治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時間12點36分)，7月交割的近月天然氣期貨價格下跌7.7美分，跌幅4.2%，至每百萬英國熱量單位1.772美元。

數(shù)據(jù)提供商Refinitiv表示，美國48個州的天然氣產(chǎn)量有望在6月1日降至876億立方英尺/天，低于5月893億立方英尺/天的年度低點和11月954億立方英尺/天的月度高點。

隨著天氣轉(zhuǎn)暖，Refinitiv預(yù)計包括出口在內(nèi)的需求將從本周的802億立方英尺/天升至下周的818億立方英尺/天。這遠高于Refinitiv上周五的預(yù)測，即本周785億立方英尺/天和下周的793億立方英尺/天。

由于美國天然氣價格預(yù)計到9月仍將高于歐洲基準(zhǔn)價格，輸往美國液化天然氣出口工廠的管道天然氣量有望在6月第一天降至9個月來的最低水平，即430億立方英尺/天。

Refinitiv早期數(shù)據(jù)顯示，預(yù)計每天最大的LNG出口量下降將出現(xiàn)在Cheniere Energy Inc的路易斯安那州Sabine Pass和德克薩斯州Corpus Christi的出口工廠。

能源方面的分析師表示，據(jù)估計今年夏天約有125艘美國船只將被關(guān)閉，與預(yù)期相比，這有可能導(dǎo)致向歐洲輸送的液化天然氣減少多達4240億立方英尺。

馮娟 摘譯自 Oil Monster

原文如下：

U.S. Natural Gas Fall 4% as LNG Exports Drop on Record Low Global Prices

U.S. natural gas futures fell over 4% on Monday as liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports continue to drop on record low gas prices in Europe and Asia.

That price decline came despite forecasts for warmer weather and higher air conditioning demand over the next two weeks than previously expected.

Front-month gas futures for July delivery fell 7.7 cents, or 4.2%, to $1.772 per million British thermal units at 8:36 a.m. EDT (1236 GMT).

Data provider Refinitiv said gas output in the U.S. Lower 48 states was on track to fall to 87.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) on the first day of June, down from a one-year low of 89.3 bcfd in May and an all-time monthly high of 95.4 bcfd in November.

With warmer weather coming, Refinitiv projected demand, including exports, would rise from 80.2 bcfd this week to 81.8 bcfd next week. That is much higher than Refinitiv's forecasts on Friday of 78.5 bcfd this week and 79.3 bcfd next week.

With U.S. gas prices expected to remain higher than European benchmarks through September, the amount of pipeline gas flowing to U.S. LNG export plants was on track to fall to a nine-month low of 4.3 bcfd on the first day of June as buyers cancel cargoes. That is down from an 8-month low of 6.4 bcfd during May and a monthly record high of 8.7 bcfd in February.

Most of the daily decline in LNG exports is expected at Cheniere Energy Inc's exports plants at Sabine Pass in Louisiana and Corpus Christi in Texas, according to early Refinitiv data.

Analysts at Energy Aspects said they expect around 125 U.S. cargoes to be shut-in this summer, potentially slashing LNG deliveries to Europe by up to 424 billion cubic feet compared to what was expected at the start of the summer.