英國(guó)海底項(xiàng)目有望于2021年恢復(fù)

據(jù)能源之聲6月1日?qǐng)?bào)道，據(jù)一位市場(chǎng)分析師表示，英國(guó)海域的海底項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)有望在明年和2022年恢復(fù)。

雷斯塔能源（Rystad Energy）資深油田服務(wù)分析師Henning Bjorvik表示，根據(jù)現(xiàn)有發(fā)現(xiàn)，英國(guó)海域可能出現(xiàn)30次海底回接，以每桶30美元的油價(jià)計(jì)算，這可能具有商業(yè)價(jià)值。

海底采油樹(shù)訂單是貝克休斯（Baker Hughes）等一級(jí)承包商的一項(xiàng)關(guān)鍵績(jī)效指標(biāo)，預(yù)計(jì)今年全球降到2016年水平，這是世紀(jì)之交以來(lái)的最低水平，不到100個(gè)。

比約克維克（Bjorvik）表示，由于油價(jià)暴跌，推動(dòng)這些訂單的FPSO(浮式生產(chǎn)、儲(chǔ)存和卸載)項(xiàng)目，如Equinor在英國(guó)水域的羅斯班克(Rosebank)項(xiàng)目，已被“推出”，并“進(jìn)入管道”。

Bjorvik先生在海底博覽會(huì)網(wǎng)絡(luò)研討會(huì)上發(fā)表講話時(shí)稱(chēng)，實(shí)際上，2016年是自世紀(jì)之交以來(lái)我們獲得的海底樹(shù)木數(shù)量最少的一年。因此，四年后我們已經(jīng)重新審視這些數(shù)字，實(shí)際上是非常令人恐懼的。

但是，從全球范圍來(lái)看，預(yù)計(jì)到2022年訂單將恢復(fù)到“更舒適的水平”，而巴西和圭亞那仍然是“熱點(diǎn)”。

英國(guó)可能不久也會(huì)恢復(fù)服務(wù)，盡管預(yù)計(jì)只有少數(shù)幾個(gè)國(guó)家會(huì)在今年恢復(fù)服務(wù)。

Bjorvik先生補(bǔ)充道，從我們?cè)谟?guó)看到的所有發(fā)現(xiàn)中，實(shí)際上有32個(gè)項(xiàng)目的收支平衡低于30美元，其中有30個(gè)是海底連接項(xiàng)目。因此，在這32項(xiàng)中，有30項(xiàng)是海底回接，我們?cè)谟?guó)將其歸類(lèi)為低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，因此仍然有希望在2021年和2022年在英國(guó)方面恢復(fù)海底回接項(xiàng)目。

郝芬 譯自 能源之聲

原文如下：

‘Hope’ for return of UK subsea projects in 2021 says analyst

There is “hope” for a return of subsea project activity in UK waters next year and in 2022, a market analyst has said.

Henning Bjorvik, senior oilfield service analyst at Rystad Energy, said there is potential for 30 subsea tiebacks in UK waters based on discoveries available, which could be commercial at a $30 a barrel oil price.

It comes as subsea xmas tree orders, a key performance metric for Tier 1 contractors like Baker Hughes, is expected to drop back to 2016 levels globally this year, the lowest since the turn of the century, at less than 100.

FPSO (floating production, storage and offloading) projects which drive these orders, such as Equinor’s Rosebank in UK waters, have been “pushed out” and “down the pipeline” Mr Bjorvik said, due to the oil price crash.

Speaking at a Subsea Expo Webinar, Mr Bjorvik said: “2016 is actually the lowest number of subsea trees we’ve seen being awarded since the turn of the century.

“So it is actually quite scary to see we’re now on track to revisit those numbers already after four years.”

However, looking globally, orders are expected to return to “more comfortable levels” by 2022, with “hot spots” remaining in Brazil and Guyana.

The UK may also see a return to service before long, although only a handful are expected to proceed this year.

Mr Bjorvik added: “From all the discoveries we see in the UK there are actually 32 projects which are below a breakeven on $30, and out of this, 30 are subsea tieback projects.

“So 30 out of these 32 are subsea tiebacks, what we class as low-risk in the UK so still there is hope for subsea tieback projects to come back in 2021 and 2022 on the UK side.”