石油生產(chǎn)國產(chǎn)量逐步企穩(wěn)

據(jù)CNBC網(wǎng)站5月18日消息：油價周二持穩(wěn)，有跡象顯示，石油生產(chǎn)國正按照承諾削減產(chǎn)量，而隨著一些國家解除封鎖，交易商則在等待需求狀況的進一步明朗。

基準布倫特原油價格上漲34美分，至35.15美元/桶，漲幅0.98%。將于周二到期的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油的前一個月合約上漲91美分，至32.73美元/桶，漲幅2.9%。

七月份交割的原油期貨價格上漲了1美分，至31.75美元/桶。

石油經(jīng)紀商PVM的塔馬斯·沃爾高表示：“需求市場在改善，經(jīng)濟產(chǎn)出將會有所增長，但會遠低于年初的預(yù)期水平?！?/span>

歐亞集團敦促人們對石油消費保持謹慎，理由是“全球經(jīng)濟衰退，新興市場(如拉丁美洲、非洲和南亞)隨后可能出現(xiàn)更嚴重的疫情爆發(fā)高峰”。

預(yù)計全球需求復(fù)蘇將較為緩慢。

石油輸出國組織（歐佩克）和包括俄羅斯在內(nèi)的其他國家（被稱為歐佩克+組織）達成的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議正在實施，市場因此得到提振。

跟蹤石油運輸?shù)墓痉Q，歐佩克在5月上旬大幅削減石油出口，這表明該組織在遵守新的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議方面有了良好的開端。

為了進一步支撐油價，美國產(chǎn)量也在下降，預(yù)計6月七個主要頁巖層的原油產(chǎn)量將下降至782.2萬桶/天。根據(jù)美國能源信息署的數(shù)據(jù)，這將是自2018年8月以來的最低水平。

5月上半月，印度燃料需求的復(fù)蘇勢頭也有所增強。

馮娟 摘譯自 CNBC

原文如下：

Oil steady on signs of output cuts

Oil prices were steady on Tuesday amid signs that producers are cutting output as promised while traders awaited more clarity on the demand picture as some countries ease out of lockdowns.

Benchmark Brent crude rose 34 cents, or 0.98%, to trade at $35.15 per barrel. The front-month contract for West Texas Intermediate crude, which is set to expire on Tuesday, was up 91 cents, or 2.9%, at $32.73 per barrel.

The July contract, which was trading at vastly higher volumes, was up one cent at $31.75 a barrel.

“A powerful cocktail made of bullish ingredients have been supporting the oil market for a month ... Demand is improving, supply is decreasing,” said oil broker PVM’s Tamas Varga.

“This improvement in sentiment, however, is expected to be relatively short-lived ... economic output will grow compared to the current quarter but will be well below the levels expected at the beginning of the year,” Varga added.

Global demand recovery is expected to be slow as some restrictions remain and there is a significant risk of repeat outbreaks and lockdowns.

The Eurasia group urged caution on oil consumption, citing “a global recession, cautious consumers, and a later and potentially worse peak of the coronavirus outbreak in emerging markets such as Latin America, Africa, and South Asia”.

There was little sign of a repeat of the historic plunge below zero seen last month ago on the eve of the May contract’s expiry amid signs of rising demand for crude and fuels.

The market was boosted earlier by signs that output cuts agreed by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and others including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, are being implemented.

OPEC+ cut its oil exports sharply in the first half of May, companies that track shipments said, suggesting a strong start in complying with their latest pact to curb output.

U.S. production is also falling, with crude output from seven major shale formations expected to fall to 7.822 million barrels per day in June, the lowest since August 2018, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

A recovery in fuel demand in India also gathered momentum in the first half of May.