IEA：2020年全球能源需求將下降6%

據(jù)阿拉伯貿(mào)易5月1日消息稱(chēng)，國(guó)際能源機(jī)構(gòu)(IEA)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，到2020年，全球能源總需求將下降6%，是2008年全球金融危機(jī)后降幅的7倍。

一份名為《國(guó)際能源署全球能源評(píng)估》的新報(bào)告稱(chēng)，電力需求將下降5%。

該報(bào)告稱(chēng)，從絕對(duì)意義上講，下降幅度是前所未有的，相當(dāng)于失去了全球第三大能源消費(fèi)國(guó)印度的全部能源需求。

發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的降幅預(yù)計(jì)最大，美國(guó)和歐盟的需求將分別下降9%和11%。

國(guó)際能源署執(zhí)行董事Fatih Birol表示：“這是對(duì)整個(gè)能源世界的歷史性沖擊。在當(dāng)今空前的健康全球公共衛(wèi)生危機(jī)中，幾乎所有主要燃料的需求急劇下降，尤其是煤炭、石油和天然氣。只有可再生能源在之前聞所未聞的用電量下降期間還能堅(jiān)持下去?！?/span>

Birol稱(chēng)：“現(xiàn)在確定長(zhǎng)期影響還為時(shí)過(guò)早，但此次危機(jī)過(guò)后的能源行業(yè)將與以往大不相同。”

報(bào)告顯示，停工期間電力使用的變化導(dǎo)致總體電力需求大幅下降。

同時(shí)，停工措施正在推動(dòng)向低碳電力的重大轉(zhuǎn)變，，包括風(fēng)能、太陽(yáng)能光伏發(fā)電、水力發(fā)電和核能。

IEA報(bào)告稱(chēng)，繼2019年首次超過(guò)煤炭之后，低碳能源將在今年擴(kuò)大其領(lǐng)先地位，達(dá)到全球發(fā)電量的40％，比煤炭領(lǐng)先6個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。

它補(bǔ)充說(shuō)，由于2019年和2020年初完成的新項(xiàng)目的推動(dòng)，風(fēng)能和太陽(yáng)能光伏發(fā)電量將在2020年繼續(xù)增加。

曹海斌 摘譯自 阿拉伯貿(mào)易

原文如下：

Global energy demand to fall 6pc in 2020, says IEA report

Overall global energy demand will fall 6 per cent in 2020 – seven times the decline after the 2008 global financial crisis, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

The demand for electricity is set to decline by 5 per cent, according to a new report ‘the IEA’s Global Energy Review’.

In absolute terms, the decline is unprecedented – the equivalent of losing the entire energy demand of India, the world’s third largest energy consumer, the report said.

Advanced economies are expected to see the biggest declines, with demand set to fall by 9 per cent in the US and by 11 per cent in the European Union.

"This is a historic shock to the entire energy world. Amid today’s unparalleled health and economic crises, the plunge in demand for nearly all major fuels is staggering, especially for coal, oil and gas. Only renewables are holding up during the previously unheard-of slump in electricity use," said Dr. Fatih Birol, the IEA Executive Director.

"It is still too early to determine the longer-term impacts, but the energy industry that emerges from this crisis will be significantly different from the one that came before," Birol said.

Changes to electricity use during lockdowns have resulted in significant declines in overall electricity demand, the report revealed.

At the same time, lockdown measures are driving a major shift towards low-carbon sources of electricity including wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), hydropower and nuclear.

After overtaking coal for the first time ever in 2019, low-carbon sources are set to extend their lead this year to reach 40 percent of global electricity generation – 6 percentage points ahead of coal, said the IEA report.

Electricity generation from wind and solar PV continues to increase in 2020, lifted by new projects that were completed in 2019 and early 2020, it added.