歐佩克成員國(guó)仍在嘗試結(jié)束原油價(jià)格戰(zhàn)

據(jù)原油新聞2020年3月27日倫敦報(bào)道，在沙特和俄羅斯之間爆發(fā)的石油價(jià)格戰(zhàn)中主要是旁觀者的歐佩克一些成員國(guó)仍在繼續(xù)敦促達(dá)成一項(xiàng)新的削減產(chǎn)量協(xié)議，以遏制市場(chǎng)暴跌。

根據(jù)歐佩克的消息人士所說(shuō)，今年擔(dān)任歐佩克輪值主席國(guó)阿爾及利亞的能源部長(zhǎng)穆罕默德·阿卡卜和他的工作人員一直非常積極地努力爭(zhēng)取足夠的支持，試圖說(shuō)服沙特阿拉伯考慮另一種選擇。

但是，鑒于沙特阿拉伯迄今在其從4月開始逐步提高產(chǎn)量的計(jì)劃上立場(chǎng)堅(jiān)定，達(dá)成任何新的減產(chǎn)協(xié)議的前景似乎都很渺茫。

在伊拉克要求召開歐佩克緊急會(huì)議的呼吁未能獲得支持后，阿卡卜的最新策略是要求召開歐佩克經(jīng)濟(jì)委員會(huì)理事會(huì)的代表級(jí)會(huì)議。

阿卡卜26日致信歐佩克秘書長(zhǎng)穆罕默德·巴爾金多稱：“召開代表級(jí)會(huì)議的目的是要評(píng)估當(dāng)前市場(chǎng)狀況和近期前景，探討各種可能的情形，并就穩(wěn)定石油市場(chǎng)的方法和途徑交換意見。

阿卡卜要求巴爾金多在4月10日前組織一次經(jīng)濟(jì)委員會(huì)理事會(huì)的電話會(huì)議，并準(zhǔn)備一份關(guān)于石油市場(chǎng)中短期前景的報(bào)告，供歐佩克成員國(guó)石油部長(zhǎng)們審閱。

記者未能聯(lián)系到巴爾金多請(qǐng)其置評(píng)，沙特能源部官員也未能聯(lián)系到。

沙特官方通訊社27日的一篇報(bào)道稱，沙特阿拉伯能源大臣阿卜杜勒-阿齊茲?本?薩勒曼王子和俄羅斯能源部長(zhǎng)亞歷山大?諾瓦克尚未就平衡石油市場(chǎng)的聯(lián)合協(xié)議進(jìn)行任何討論，這表明這場(chǎng)價(jià)格戰(zhàn)沒(méi)有任何解決辦法。

歐佩克事實(shí)上的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者沙特阿拉伯宣布，該國(guó)將把原油產(chǎn)量提高大約三分之一，并將以創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的每天1230萬(wàn)桶的原油產(chǎn)量供應(yīng)全球市場(chǎng)。

沙特阿拉伯的緊密盟友阿聯(lián)酋也表示，該國(guó)將把原油日產(chǎn)量提高三分之一，達(dá)到400萬(wàn)桶。

諾瓦克曾表示，俄羅斯可以在短期內(nèi)把原油日產(chǎn)量提高至多30萬(wàn)桶，在長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)提高50萬(wàn)桶，這將使其原油日產(chǎn)量達(dá)到近1100萬(wàn)桶。

一位不愿透露姓名的歐佩克代表對(duì)媒體表示：“市場(chǎng)情緒不太好消化”即將到來(lái)的供應(yīng)激增。

調(diào)解沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯之間爭(zhēng)端的其它國(guó)際努力迄今尚未促成任何緩和，包括沙特阿拉伯國(guó)王薩勒曼·本·阿卜杜勒-阿齊茲26日主持的20國(guó)集團(tuán)(G20)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人視頻會(huì)議峰會(huì)。

由于其頁(yè)巖行業(yè)面臨價(jià)格暴跌的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，美國(guó)已敦促沙特阿拉伯緩和價(jià)格戰(zhàn)，理由是疫情已經(jīng)造成了全球經(jīng)濟(jì)大破壞。

經(jīng)紀(jì)公司PVM Associates的分析師斯蒂芬?布倫諾克表示，全球石油市場(chǎng)“正面臨嚴(yán)重的供應(yīng)過(guò)剩”。他在27日發(fā)給客戶的一份報(bào)告中表示：“結(jié)束(沙特與俄羅斯的)價(jià)格戰(zhàn)在財(cái)務(wù)上是合理的，但雙方似乎都可能在短期內(nèi)堅(jiān)持目前的立場(chǎng)?！薄昂?jiǎn)而言之，回到價(jià)格支撐減產(chǎn)的時(shí)代目前只是一個(gè)白日夢(mèng)?！?/span>

李峻 編譯自 原油新聞

原文如下：

OPEC members still trying to broker an end to Saudi-Russia price war

Several OPEC members, largely bystanders suffering amid the Saudi-Russia oil price war, continue to press for a new production accord to stem the market rout.

Algerian energy minister Mohamad Arkab, who holds OPEC's rotating presidency this year, and his staff have been extremely active in attempting to round up enough support to try and convince Saudi Arabia to consider an alternative tack, according to sources in the organization.

But with the kingdom so far standing firm in its plans to ratchet up its production starting next month, the prospects of any new deal seem scant.

Arkab's latest gambit, after a call by Iraq for an emergency OPEC meeting failed to gain traction, is to call for a delegate-level meeting of the organization's Economic Commission Board.

"The objective of the meeting is to assess current market conditions and immediate prospects, to explore various scenarios, and to exchange views on ways and means to stabilize the oil market," Arkab wrote in a letter to OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo on Thursday.

He asked Barkindo to organize a teleconference of the ECB by April 10 and to prepare a report on the oil market's short- and medium-term prospects for ministers to review.

Barkindo could not be reached for comment, nor could Saudi energy ministry officials.

A report by the official Saudi Press Agency on Friday said that Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and Russian counterpart Alexander Novak have not held any discussions about a joint agreement to balance oil markets, indicating no resolution to the price war.

Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of OPEC, has announced it will hike production by about a third and supply a record 12.3 million b/d of crude to the market.

Close ally the UAE has also said it will boost its output by a third to hit 4 million b/d.

Novak has said Russia could raise its production by up to 300,000 b/d in the short-term and 500,000 b/d in the long-term, which would bring its crude output to almost 11 million b/d.

"The market mood is not good to absorb" the coming supply surge, one OPEC delegate told the media on condition of anonymity.

Other international attempts to mediate the Saudi-Russia spat have yet to forge any detente, including a G20 leaders videoconference summit Thursday hosted by Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz.

The US, with its shale sector at risk of collapse from the price plunge, has urged Saudi Arabia to ease off the price war, citing the global economic havoc already wreaked by the coronavirus pandemic.

Stephen Brennock, an analyst with brokerage PVM Associates, said the oil market "is facing an oversupply of biblical proportion."

"Ending [the Saudi-Russia] price war would make financial sense but both sides seem likely to stick to their current course in the near-term," he said in a note to clients Friday. "In short, a return to the era of price supportive production cuts is currently a pipedream."