IEA稱全球石油需求或?qū)⑾陆?0％

據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)3月27日倫敦報(bào)道，國際能源署（IEA）負(fù)責(zé)人周四在呼吁歐佩克領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者沙特幫助穩(wěn)定石油市場時(shí)表示，由于疫情影響，全球石油需求可能下降20％。

法提赫·比羅爾（Fatih Birol）在大西洋理事會(huì)電話會(huì)議上表示，如今，全球有30億人被封鎖。 因此，我們很可能會(huì)看到今年的一段時(shí)間，需求下降，正如一些人所說，每天大約有2000萬桶。

去年全球石油日需求量為1億桶。

比羅爾稱，盡管需求遭到了巨大破壞，但由于沙特與俄羅斯的市場份額之爭，石油供應(yīng)仍將再增加300萬桶/日。作為今年20國集團(tuán)(G20)的主席，人們希望沙特根據(jù)過去的歷史為穩(wěn)定全球石油市場提供建設(shè)性支持。

他沒有透露沙特阿拉伯、俄羅斯和美國是否可以與國際能源署一起發(fā)揮穩(wěn)定作用。他說：“我正在和很多人交談?！?/span>

比羅爾表示，負(fù)責(zé)協(xié)調(diào)工業(yè)化國家能源政策的IEA 將在兩周內(nèi)就全球石油需求提供更清晰的前景和時(shí)間表，屆時(shí)該機(jī)構(gòu)將公布其月度報(bào)告。

但是考慮到主要的供過于求，全球存儲(chǔ)容量可能很快將會(huì)耗盡。 Birol補(bǔ)充道，需求恢復(fù)既不容易也不迅速。

比羅爾還表示，他預(yù)計(jì)美國石油產(chǎn)量將大幅下降，但隨后，當(dāng)市場復(fù)蘇和更高的油價(jià)一起復(fù)蘇時(shí)，市場將出現(xiàn)好轉(zhuǎn)。

郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)

原文如下：

IEA says global oil demand could drop 20 per cent as 3 billion people in lockdown

Global oil demand could dive by 20 per cent as 3 billion people are in a lockdown because of the coronavirus outbreak, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday as he called on OPEC leader Saudi Arabia to help stabilise oil markets.

"Today, 3 billion people in the world are locked down. As a result of that we may well see sometime throughout this year demand to fall down, as some say, about 20 million barrels per day," Fatih Birol told an Atlantic Council conference call.

The world's oil demand stood at 100 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019.

Birol said that, despite huge demand destruction, oil supply was nevertheless set to rise by another 3 million bpd as part of Saudi Arabia's market share battle with Russia.

"Being the president of the G20 this year, one would expect that Saudi Arabia will provide a constructive support to the stabilisation of the global oil markets based on their past record," he said.

He did not say whether Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United States could play a stabilising role together with the IEA.

"I'm talking to a lot of people," he said.

Birol said the IEA, which coordinates energy policies of industrialised nations, would give a clearer outlook and timeframe on the global oil demand in two weeks, when the agency is due to publish its monthly report.

But given the major oversupply, the world might soon run out of global storage capacity. Birol added that demand recovery would neither be easy nor quick.

Birol also said he expected US oil production to decline significantly but then surprise the market on the upside when it recovers together with higher oil prices.