渣打銀行下調(diào)今年布倫特原油均價預(yù)測

據(jù)美國鉆井網(wǎng)站2020年3月9日倫敦報道，英國渣打銀行周一在倫敦透露，渣打銀行已把今年布倫特原油的平均價格預(yù)測下調(diào)了29美元，至35美元/桶。

渣打銀行認(rèn)為，歐佩克+減產(chǎn)協(xié)議談判的破裂將導(dǎo)致一場“嚴(yán)重而持久的價格戰(zhàn)”。渣打銀行同時把今年第二季度布倫特原油平均價格預(yù)測下調(diào)了38美元，至每桶23美元，并將2021年布倫特原油平均價格的預(yù)測下調(diào)了23美元，至每桶44美元。

渣打銀行表示，該行預(yù)計(jì)沙特阿拉伯4月份原油日產(chǎn)量將接近1100萬桶，到第二季度末將增至1180萬桶。

渣打銀行周一在發(fā)給Rigzone的研究報告中表示：“隨著供應(yīng)增加，石油價格的短期底部非常脆弱?！?/span>

李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

Standard Chartered Cuts Oil Price Forecast by $29|

Standard Chartered revealed Monday that it has lowered its 2020 average Brent oil price forecast by $29 per barrel to $35 per barrel.

The company, which believes the collapse of the OPEC+ agreement will lead to a “severe and extended price war”, lowered its second quarter Brent forecast by $38 per barrel to $23 per barrel and its 2021 forecast by $23 per barrel to $44 per barrel.

Standard Chartered said it expects Saudi Arabia to increase its crude oil output to close to 11 million barrels per day (MMbpd) in April and to 11.8 MMbpd by the end of 2Q.

“With supply ramping up at the same time as coronavirus-related demand losses reach their maximum, the short-term floor to oil prices is extremely weak,” Standard Chartered said in a research note sent to Rigzone on Monday.