據(jù)國(guó)外媒體1月19日巴黎報(bào)道,根據(jù)國(guó)際能源署(IEA)的最新一期石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告,全球去年石油需求增長(zhǎng)現(xiàn)在預(yù)計(jì)在150萬(wàn)桶/天。
IEA在報(bào)告中說(shuō):“然而,在2017年,我們?nèi)匀活A(yù)計(jì)全球石油需求增長(zhǎng)速度回落到130萬(wàn)桶/天。更高產(chǎn)品價(jià)格,假設(shè)2017年原油成本上漲,加上美元走強(qiáng)可能性的前景是我們下調(diào)今年全球石油需求增長(zhǎng)前景背后的因素。”
根據(jù)報(bào)告,初步跡象顯示,由于沙特阿拉伯與其鄰國(guó)執(zhí)行減產(chǎn)協(xié)議,歐佩克1月份的原油產(chǎn)量可能進(jìn)一步減少。
報(bào)告說(shuō):“IEA曾預(yù)測(cè)頁(yè)巖油產(chǎn)量在2017年將有一段時(shí)間增加,但是,我們現(xiàn)在預(yù)測(cè)頁(yè)巖油產(chǎn)量在去年日減近30萬(wàn)桶以后今年將有更大的增加,日增17萬(wàn)桶。”
報(bào)告說(shuō),在別處,計(jì)劃已久的項(xiàng)目在巴西和加拿大將陸續(xù)投產(chǎn),這些項(xiàng)目今年將日增41.5萬(wàn)桶石油產(chǎn)量。在中國(guó)和哥倫比亞,去年看到的產(chǎn)量大幅下降今年將會(huì)減少。
李峻編譯
原文如下:
IEA: Global oil demand growth expected to drop in 2017
Trend/January 19, 2017/Paris
Global oil demand growth for 2016 is now expected to be 1.5 million barrels per day (mb/d), according to the Oil Market Report of the International Energy Agency (IEA).
“In 2017, however, we still expect the rate of growth for global demand to fall back to 1.3 mb/d. The prospect of higher product prices - assuming that the cost of crude oil rises in 2017 - plus the possibility of a stronger US dollar are factors behind our reduced demand growth outlook for this year,” said IEA.
Early indications suggest a deeper reduction may be under way in OPEC crude production for January, as Saudi Arabia and its neighbors enforce supply cuts, according to the report.
“The IEA has anticipated for some time that shale oil production will increase in 2017, but we are now expecting an even larger increase of 170,000 b/d, following a decline of nearly 300,000 b/d last year,” said the organization.
“Elsewhere, long-planned projects are coming on stream in Brazil and Canada and their combined production will rise by 415,000 b/d this year,” said the report. “In China and Colombia, the sharp declines in production seen in 2016 will be reduced.”.
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