亞洲對石油難以抑制的渴求將超過今年煉油增長

　　據(jù)普氏能源資訊1月20日新加坡報道，亞洲時下正準備在至少4個國家里見證新的煉油產(chǎn)能的增長，但是，在一些最大消費國里的產(chǎn)能減少將把凈增加拉下到將低于這個地區(qū)今年很有可能看到預期需求增長的水平。

　　分析師和市場參與者對標普全球普氏能源資訊記者說，當中國、印度、中國臺灣地區(qū)和越南預計今年增加他們的煉油能力的時候，日本將見證煉油廠關閉，而中國的一些獨立煉油廠可能被迫放棄產(chǎn)能。

　　Facts全球能源公司負責蘇伊士以東石油業(yè)務的主管斯里?帕拉維卡拉蘇說，今年亞洲地區(qū)的石油需求增長預計超過凈煉油產(chǎn)能的增長?？纯次磥淼奈迥辏彤a(chǎn)品需求增長應該每一年超過凈煉油產(chǎn)能的增加。

　　根據(jù)普氏能源資訊，印度的增長將是最強勁增長之一，其今年的石油需求增加預計將連續(xù)第三年超過中國。今年印度的需求預計同比增加7%至413萬桶/天，而中國今年的石油消費量預計同比將僅增加3%至1150萬桶/天。

　　李峻編譯

　　原文如下：

　　Asias unquenchable thirst for oil to outpace 2017 refining growth

　　Singapore (Platts)--20 Jan 2017

　　Asia is gearing up to witness new refining capacity growth in at least four countries in 2017, but capacity reductions in some top consuming nations will pull down the net addition to a level that would be lower than the anticipated demand growth the region is likely to see this year.

　　While China, India, Taiwan and Vietnam are expected to add to their refining capacities this year, Japan will witness closures, while some independent refiners in China might be forced to give up capacity, analysts and market participants told S&P Global Platts.

　　Oil demand growth in the Asian region is expected to exceed the net refining additions this year, said Sri Paravaikkarasu, Head of Oil, East of Suez, at Facts Global Energy. And looking at the next five-year horizon, oil products demand growth should exceed net refining additions every single year, helping to clear product surplus somewhat.

　　Growth in India is set to be one of the strongest, with the rise in oil demand expected to outpace that of Chinas for the third year in a row this year, according to Platts Analytics. Indian demand is expected to grow by 7% year on year to 4.13 million b/d in 2017, while Chinas oil consumption is expected to rise by only 3% to 11.5 million b/d in the same period.